As the Russian army would react to destabilize the neighbor: Armed forces: Security forces: Lenta.ru

On the southern borders of Russia continues to escalate the situation. Traditional terrorist threats and the dangers of political turmoil in Central Asia, and formed in 2014 the tension zone at the border with Ukraine Add riots in Armenia and incipient destabilization in Turkey. What are the challenges is preparing the Russian army, it appears “to Lenta.ru.”Military threat number oneThe Russian military and security forces generally do not like to Central Asia. This region – the first place in the list of the main sources of military threats to Russia. A counter opportunities in this direction is practically no.The main type of military threat – naturally diffuse guerrilla generated by the explosion of religious extremism, which is almost inevitable in the conditions of a hypothetical fall of one or several of the Central Asian regimes.The border with Kazakhstan is not equipped, to influence the situation in the region in case of an uncontrolled escalation of the situation will not be possible. Russian troops in Tajikistan, as well as aircraft deployed on the Kyrgyz airbase Kant, able to intervene in the fight against armed extremists at the request of the legitimate governments, but if war is accompanied by political crises (and even revolutions), the room for maneuver is very limited.The weakness of the security in the Central Asian countries, which are increasingly penetrating a radical form of Islam and international terrorist networks, will lead to the fact that the only serious resistance “bogeyman” can have only on the Russian-Kazakh border. And its length and permeability does not add optimism.Or – to introduce Russian troops into the region. This, in turn, will cause a whole set of purely internal Russian problems, ranging from popular discontent and ending binding valence bodied compounds in poorly-equipped central region of Eurasia.The sight KazakhstanIn recent months, the situation worsened in Kazakhstan, which though was not an island of stability in Central Asia, but, at least, the impression of the most advanced and managed state in the region.RELATED CONTENT21:02 June 5, 2016The terrorist act of irresponsibilityAs extremists attacked Kazakhstan AktyubinskFifth of June in Aktobe several terrorist groups, robbing weapon shops, carried out an armed attack on police stations and the territory of the military unit. Killing seven people and injuring forty. Kazakh Interior Ministry described the attackers as “radical adherents of non-traditional religious movements’, which clearly shows their connection with cross-border structures extremist Islamists.July Eighteenth shot in the Alma-Ata. Attack undergone District Department of Internal Affairs and National Security Committee, killing three policemen. And once again reported “radical adherents of non-traditional religious movements.”RELATED CONTENT13:40 July 18, 2016shot uniformsWho is behind the armed attack on security forces in AlmatyIt is impossible not to note the amateurish approach of militants to both terrorist attacks. The more questions to the Kazakh law enforcement bodies. What if the next time (and there is no reason to believe that this is the last event of this kind) planning and management of an attack would be a qualitatively different level? Will the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Kazakhstan colors in the scale of the terrorist threat to describe what is happening?Fergana nodeKazakh problems, however, should not distract from the much more long-time host of heavy conflict in the region. It’s about the Ferghana Valley, where many diverse intertwined conflicts Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan.This region was created in order to become the detonator of the whole of Central Asia. Fergana – this transport hub, and aggregator of drug trafficking from the south, then smolder and ethnic conflicts, and interstate – because of the water.RELATED CONTENT00:07 May 11, 2016Wild Field threatsWith what face can the National Guard under RussiaAny significant weakening of the political regimes in Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, is fraught with a local explosion, provoked by extremists performance – as has already happened in 1999 by the “Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan.”We should not forget that the growth of domestic contradictions able to push any weak government on the “export of instability” in the form of war. This should theoretically damped “political management” of Moscow in the framework of its directed integration projects in the former Soviet space.Belt expandsThe situation is complicated by the fact that the zone of political instability at the borders of Russia clearly does not intend to be limited to Central Asia, which has even indecently called the “soft underbelly” (so it is overwritten metaphor).We have to mention the whole belt of instability. It is difficult otherwise to perceive what is happening in the South Caucasus (Armenia riots), Turkey with its unsuccessful military coups (accompanied by a massive “folk festiva

Source: As the Russian army would react to destabilize the neighbor: Armed forces: Security forces: Lenta.ru

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